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KillzoneNAS100

The ICT Silver Bullet

3 min read·Free·74% base rate · 1,137 sessions

The Silver Bullet is ICT's answer to overtrading: a setup you are only allowed to take inside three one-hour windows a day. Michael Huddleston built it as a scalp with a strict recipe, a sweep of liquidity, a shift in structure, and the first fair-value gap that follows, taken only in that hour. It is the most replicated setup in the ICT world, and the time box is what makes it work.

The Silver Bullet is a time-boxed liquidity-sweep entry, valid only inside three New York windows: the London Silver Bullet from 3 to 4am, the AM Silver Bullet from 10 to 11am (the most traded), and the PM Silver Bullet from 2 to 3pm. Inside the window the sequence is fixed: price sweeps a recent high or low to run the stops, then shifts structure back the other way, leaving a fair-value gap on the displacement. You enter on the retrace into that first gap, stop beyond the candle that made it, and target the opposing liquidity. If the sweep, shift and gap do not line up inside the hour, there is no trade, and walking away is the rule, not a miss.

The receipts74%
of 1,137 NAS100 RTH sessions, 2021–2026

This setup played out on NAS100 74% of the time, 6 years running.

of AM Silver Bullet sweeps reverse and reach 50 ticks in the 10 to 11am window

This is how often it happens at all, not how often the trade wins. Where it plays out before your stop is the next question, and the one Market Edge answers below.

How to trade it

1Pick your window: 3 to 4am, 10 to 11am, or 2 to 3pm New York. Nothing outside these counts.
2Before it opens, set your bias and mark the liquidity, the prior day, session and week highs and lows price is drawn toward.
3Inside the window, wait for a liquidity sweep: price runs a recent high or low, then fails and turns.
4Require a structure shift back in your bias direction, and take the first fair-value gap the shift leaves.
5Enter on the retrace into that gap, stop beyond the candle that made it, and target the opposing liquidity or a fixed 1 to 3 R.
Two ways to run it

Draw it yourself, or let us draw it for you.

Draw it yourselfFree, forever

Everything you need is in the 5 steps above. No tool, no login, nothing held back.

Pick your window: 3 to 4am, 10 to 11am, or 2 to 3pm New York. Nothing outside these counts.
Before it opens, set your bias and mark the liquidity, the prior day, session and week highs and lows price is drawn toward.
Inside the window, wait for a liquidity sweep: price runs a recent high or low, then fails and turns.
Or let us draw it for youIncluded with Pro

Our indicator draws the range, its midpoint and the trade lines the moment the first hour closes, and alerts you when the setup is live. You focus on the trade, not the chart. It is included with Pro, no extra purchase.

See what you get with Pro

When it fails

The Silver Bullet is a scalp on a strict clock. On a dead, rangebound session the sweep-shift-gap sequence never forms inside the hour, and the correct play is no trade at all. Forcing a setup because the window is open, when the liquidity and structure are not there, is how the model gets misused.

Even a clean sequence can sweep, shift, fill your gap and roll over again. The stop beyond the gap candle caps it, and the one-hour frame keeps a losing scalp from becoming a held loser. It is a discretionary read: what counts as a valid sweep or shift is a judgment call, so the same window can be a trade for one trader and a pass for another.

Related strategies

Imbalance
The ICT Fair Value Gap
Overnight
The ICT Judas Swing
Market Edge

You know the setup. Here is when it pays.

Market Edge tells you when a setup is worth trading and when it isn’t. Built on five years of real market history, it measures how any setup actually behaved, by day of the week, by time of day, by the state of the market, and shows the conditions where it paid and the ones where it didn’t. Same setup, very different odds depending on when you take it.

74% is the headline. The trade lives underneath it, in the conditions, so you take the version with the edge and skip the one that looks identical but isn’t.

Opening range lowBest sweep: the OR low
76%
n = 263
Of every level price raids in the 10 to 11am window, a sweep of the opening-range low is the most reliable on a deep sample: it reverses and reaches 50 ticks 76% of the time. The opening-range levels are the Silver Bullet's bread and butter.
100 ticksThe reversals carry
68%
n = 1,118
This is not just a tick-and-die scalp. Even a 100-tick target is reached 68% of the time after a valid sweep, so there is room to let a runner work past the first objective.
Low sweptEither side works
75%
n = 533
The setup is not directional. A swept low you long reverses 75% of the time and a swept high you short 74%, so take whichever the sweep hands you rather than sitting out for your preferred side.
Captured Market Edge panel, Killzone, NAS100
From the Killzone report · NAS100 · captured 25 Jul 2026Open the full NAS100 report
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